A New York Federal Reserve study has found that tariffs were entirely responsible for inflation seen in many everyday consumer goods, adding 2.9 percentage points across dozens of product categories by early 2026.
Key facts
- New York Federal Reserve researchers attributed inflation in many everyday goods to tariffs.
- Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation, according to the study.
- The effect was measured across 67 categories of goods.
- The findings were measured through February 2026.
- The study was reported by CNBC on October 8, 2026.
Inflation on many everyday consumer items was entirely due to tariffs, according to new research from the New York Federal Reserve reported by CNBC.
Researchers at the New York Fed found that tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation across 67 categories of goods by February 2026. The finding points to tariffs as the direct driver of price increases in those product categories.
The scope of the study, covering 67 separate categories of goods, suggests the price effects were felt broadly across items that consumers purchase regularly, rather than being confined to a narrow set of products.
The measurement period extended through February 2026, giving researchers a window to assess how tariff policy translated into prices paid by shoppers.
CNBC reported the findings on October 8, 2026. The research adds to the body of analysis examining how trade policy feeds through to the prices households face.
Why it matters
The study offers direct evidence that tariff policy translated into higher prices on a wide range of everyday goods, affecting household budgets. For policymakers and consumers alike, it underscores how trade decisions can ripple directly into the cost of living.
Frequently asked questions
How much did tariffs add to inflation?
According to New York Federal Reserve researchers, tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in the categories studied.
How many categories of goods were affected?
The study found effects across 67 categories of goods by February 2026.
Who conducted the research?
The research was conducted by researchers at the New York Federal Reserve and reported by CNBC.

